Bayesian Thinking — Way to Face the Uncertainty
The art of staying calm in the face of life’s unpredictability.
In life, there are a lot of things that can go wrong or turn out differently than expected. The future is something that we humans cannot predict. Sometimes we question whether or not we’ve made the right choices. Did I do it right?
We worry too much when the future is clouded in mystery. Fear of the unknown makes us cautious in moving forward. Everyone, of course does not want to fall into the abyss.
Although we may try to exert control over many aspects of our lives, the results may still be affected by factors beyond our control. Our own actions and decisions can also lead to uncertainty.
It’s part of being human to screw up sometimes. We are not super heroes with the ability to see into the future because we do not possess any special abilities. On the other hand, given that we are human, we have the capacity to grow from our errors and ensure that we do not repeat them.
Professor of Psychology at Harvard, Steven Pinker, reveals The formula for rational thinking. In his brief video (just 5 minutes long), he explained Bayes’s theorem.
The Bayes’ Theorem is an essential part of both probability theory and statistics as a field of…
